Friday, February 4, 2011

FAO: World food prices reach new historic peak, to persist in months to come

KUALA LUMPUR:'' World food prices surged to a new historic peak in January, for the seventh consecutive month, the United Nation's Food and Agriculture Organisation said, and warned high prices are likely to persist in the months to come.

The FAO said its updated FAO food price index -- a commodity basket that regularly tracks monthly changes in global food prices ' averaged 231 points in January and was up 3.4% from December 2010.

In its report released on Thursday, Feb 3, the UN agency said this was the highest level (both in real and nominal terms) since FAO started measuring food prices in 1990. Prices of all monitored commodity groups registered strong gains in January, except for meat, which remained unchanged.

"The new figures clearly show that the upward pressure on world food prices is not abating," said FAO economist and grains expert Abdolreza Abbassian in the report released in Rome.

"These high prices are likely to persist in the months to come. High food prices are of major concern especially for low-income food deficit countries that may face problems in financing food imports and for poor households which spend a large share of their income on food."

Abbassian added the only encouraging factor so far stems from a number of countries, where - due to good harvests - domestic prices of some of the food staples remain low compared to world prices.

FAO emphasised that the Food Price Index has been revised, largely reflecting adjustments to its meat price index. The revision, which is retroactive, has produced new figures for all the indices but the overall trends measured since 1990 remain unchanged.

FAO Cereal Price Index

The FAO Cereal Price Index averaged 245 points in January, up 3% from December and the highest since July 2008, but still 11% below its peak in April 2008.

The increase in January mostly reflected continuing increases in international prices of wheat and maize, amid tightening supplies, while rice prices fell slightly, as the timing coincides with the harvesting of main crops in major exporting countries.

Oils/Fats Price Index

The Oils/Fats Price Index rose by 5.6% to 278 points, nearing the June 2008 record level, reflecting an increasingly tight supply and demand balance across the oilseeds complex.

Dairy Price Index

The Dairy Price Index averaged 221 points in January, up 6.2%'' from December, but still 17 percent below its peak in November 2007. A firm global demand for dairy products, against the backdrop of a normal seasonal decline of production in the southern hemisphere, continued to underpin dairy prices.

Sugar Price Index

The Sugar Price Index averaged 420 points in January, up 5.4% from December. International sugar prices remain high, driven by tight global supplies.

FAO Meat Price Index

By contrast, the FAO Meat Price Index was steady at around 166 points, as declining meat prices in Europe, caused by a fall in consumer confidence following a feed contamination scandal, was compensated for by a slight increase in export prices from Brazil and the United ''States.


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