Thursday, August 18, 2011

European shares fall on global growth fears

LONDON: European shares fell sharply on Thursday, Aug 18 as a downbeat sales outlook from a U.S. tech bellwether Dell, fiscal tightening pressure in China and global growth downgrades inflamed investor fears over stalling economic recovery.

At 0815 GMT, the FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was down 1.4 percent at 958.21 points.

The euro zone's blue-chip Euro STOXX 50 index was down 1.5 percent at 2,295.97 points.

"At the start of the week, we were expecting a selloff and it hadn't materialised, with people selectively putting money into a few stocks keeping the froth alive, and so I think it is overdue," the head of institutional trading at a UK-based investment bank, said.

In the United States on Wednesday, Dell's sales gloom fanned worries weak economic growth will hurt earnings in the third quarter, prompting a lacklustre close on Wall Street.

China's benchmark stock index fell 1.6 percent on Thursday, as a rise in central bank bill yields sparked worries over a potential interest rate rise, which is seen as crimping appetite from the world's fastest growing economy.

Separately, Deutsche Bank cut its projection for China GDP growth to 8.9 percent for 2011 from 9.1 percent and to 8.3 percent for 2012 from 8.6 percent, largely reflecting the downgrade in export outlook due to slower growth in the United States and Europe.

Adding to the concerns over economic outlook, analysts at Morgan Stanley became the latest to cut their macro growth forecasts, traders said.

Citing a note from the broker, traders said Morgan Stanley cut its GDP forecasts for the euro area by a full percentage point over 2011/12 and expects GDP growth to average only 0.5 percent next year.

Reflecting the macro challenges at the corporate level, Swiss cement maker Holcim was the biggest faller across all sectors, sliding 7.3 percent after it reported forecast-lagging second-quarter results, hit by a strong Swiss franc and raw materials costs.

Vallourec shed 3.2 percent as Goldman Sachs downgrades its rating on the maker of seamless industrial tubes for the energy sector to "neutral" and cuts its earnings forecasts by up to 47 percent between 2011 and 2013.

"These are periods when profits fall by 10 percent or more. Our analysis suggests the probability of a global profits collapse is rising but low," said Robert Buckland, analyst at Citigroup, adding he believes a recovery in stock prices is the most likely outcome from here as a corporate profits recession is unlikely.

Around Europe, the UK's FTSE 100 index was down 1.3 percent, Germany's DAX index down 1.7 percent, and France's CAC 40 down 1.5 percent.

"I think we need to get the (FTSE) down to around 5,000. The world's slowing down; unemployment rates are going through the roof, all the leading indicators in the U.S. are suggesting times are tough and you've got to rerate the market accordingly," said the head of institutional trading at a UK-based investment bank.

Equity valuations on Thomson Reuters Datastream showed the STOXX Europe 600 carrying a one-year forward price-to-earnings of 9.6, against a 10-year average of more than 13.

Investors fled to safe haven areas such as gold as they looked to take defensive positions in the face of macro economic difficulties.

The Swiss franc remained near recent highs although weakened against the dollar on hopes the Swiss central bank would take further steps to cool the currency's recent surge. - Reuters

WCT down on disappointing 2Q results

KUALA LUMPUR: Shares of WCT BHD [] fell in afternoon trade on Thursday, Aug 18 after analysts viewed its second quarter results as disappointing, which were impacted partly by foreign exchange (forex) losses.

At 3.42pm, it had fallen 12 sen to RM2.72 with 2.20 million shares done.

The FBM KLCI fell 3.83 points to 1,499.24. Turnover was 631.11 million shares valued at RM1.09 billion. Losers beat gainers 454 to 204 while 295 stocks were unchanged.

WCT's second quarter revenue amounted to RM375.9 million (down 26.8% on-year but up 19.1% on-quarter) while earnings came in at RM37.8 million (up 12% on-year, up 1.1% on-quarter).

OSK Research said on a cumulative basis, the earnings of RM75.2 million were higher by 9.4% y-o-y. Margins over the same horizon also expanded, with EBIT and net levels at 18.7% and 10.9% (FY10 comparatives at 13.9% and 7.5%).

'Overall, the results were below expectations, making up only 41.4% of our estimates (41.7% of consensus),' it said.

OSK Research said the lower than expected results were partially due to forex losses amounting to RM9 million for the quarter (RM14 million in 1H) due to the depreciation of the QAR (USD pegged) from its Qatar operation.

'Management expects more forex losses in 3Q-4Q but at a lower quantum,' it said.

The research house said CONSTRUCTION [] revenue accelerated 33.5% on-quarter, mainly driven by domestic jobs such as the Medini infra works, LCCT earthworks and KLIA2 complex. Its RM1.4 billion building job in Qatar has yet to go into full swing.

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Australia's Foster's rejects SABMiller bid, again

MELBOURNE: Australian brewer Foster's rejected a $10 billion offer from rival SABMiller for the second time as shareholders hold out for a better offer from the global brewing giant.

SABMiller announced on Wednesday it would go directly to shareholders to gain about half of Australia's beer market, with a repeated offer of A$4.90 a share.

Foster's on Thursday said the offer significantly undervalues the company. Shares in the brewer, which is expected to report flagging profits on Tuesday, rose as high as A$5.03 on Thursday.

"They are doing the right thing. They probably will get a better price sometime down the track and this strategy is probably the right one," said Craig Young, portfolio manager at Tyndall Investment Management, which owns Foster's shares.

"The market thinks that a better price will be forthcoming. It expects something above A$5 and decently above A$5. So you're talking A$5.10, A$5.20, maybe even as high as A$5.30," he said.

The stock has gone as high as A$5.25 since SABMiller's first offer in June.

SABMiller, which makes Peroni, Grolsch and Miller Lite, has long been seen as the favorite to take over Foster's since rivals such as Heineken (HEIN.AS) are struggling with debt or lack adequate funding.

Foster's boasts high margins and a dominant position in Australia, although beer volumes have sagged recently with a poor summer and consumer downturn.

SABMiller could have strengthened its hand by waiting longer to make a direct offer in the absence of a rival, shareholders said, signaling an improved bid may emerge.

"It doesn't look like there is anyone at all else out there to buy it. It certainly looks like they want the deal done fairly quickly so I would have thought a better price will be forthcoming," said Young.

"They do want the asset, just by the fact the market's gone down (since the June offer) and they still offered a similar price. They could have waited six months. It would have put them in a better bargaining position, but they obviously want to get the deal done quickly and they are not as fussed on price," Young said.

World brewers, juggling rising raw materials prices and slowing growth in mature markets, are seeking growth elsewhere and a number of smaller brewers are expected to be swallowed up.

On Thursday, Asahi Group Holdings (2502.T) said it will buy New Zealand beverage group Independent Liquor for 97.6 billion yen ($1.27 billion), as the Japanese brewer rushes to develop profit growth drivers outside its shrinking home market.

Foster's, which rejected the A$4.90 offer in June and has refused to engage in talks with its suitor, said after its board met early on Thursday morning that the latest offer "significantly undervalues" the company.

"It probably puts a bit more pressure on Foster's management because they are certainly going to get questioned a lot harder on...their strategy and why they see value well above A$4.90," said Jason Beddow, chief executive at Foster's shareholder, ARGO Investments. He added that he would not take the offer "at this stage."

The cash offer, which will be reduced by any second-half dividend paid by Foster's, requires 90 percent acceptance by shareholders.

Foster's releases its full-year earnings on Tuesday. The brewer's advisors on the deal are Goldman Sachs, Gresham and Allens Arthur Robinson.



Tenaga weighs KLCI down at mid-day

KUALA LUMPUR: The FBM KLCI was weighed down by losses at Tenaga and select blue chips at the mid-day break on Thursday, Aug 18 as most regional markets retreated on still jittery investor sentiment.

Asian stocks fell on Thursday on profit-booking by nervous investors, while the Swiss franc stayed firm after plans to curb the currency disappointed those looking for more drastic action, according to Reuters.

Commodity and TECHNOLOGY [] shares dragged the region's shares lower as investors skimmed off some of this week's gains amid lingering worries on the U.S. economy and eurozone debt, it said.

The FBM KLCI fell 2.88 points to 1,500.19 at 12.30pm. Market breadth turned negative with 331 losers, 205 gainers and 301 counters trading unchanged. Volume was 423.17 million shares valued at RM666.58 million.

The ringgit weakened 0.11% to 2.9797 versus the US dollar; crude palm oil futures lost RM2 per tonne to RM3,031, crude oil shed 39 cents per barrel to US$87.19 while gold fell 35 cents an ounce to US$1,790.90.

At the regional markets, Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 1.14% to 8,954.33, South Korea's Kospi lost 2.46% to 1,846.11, Taiwan's Taiex was down 2.29% to 7.564.36, the Shanghai Composite Index shed 0.34% to 2,592.36, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index was flat at 20,288.82 while the Singapore Straits Times Index added 0.43% to 2,840.56.

On Bursa Malaysia, Tenaga fell 15 sen to RM5.73 on continuing worries about high fuel costs impacting its financial results in the fourth quarter.

Esso slumped 81 sen to RM4.14 with 10.1 million shares traded after the initial euphoria over San Miguel's offer to buy a controlling 65% stake from ExxonMobil International Holdings Inc in the company fizzled out following its disappointing offer of RM3.50 per share.

Other decliners included Dutch Lady that fell 14 sen to RM18.02, Lafarge Malayan Cement 12 sen to RM6.98, QSR down 11 sen to RM5.99, while BDB, Uzma, Ta Ann, PPB and Hong Leong Bank fell 10 sen each to RM1.08, RM1.75, RM5.33, RM17.08 and RM12.84 respectively.

MAA was the most actively traded counter with 23 million shares traded. The stock added seven sen to 63 sen.

Other actives included Kurnia Asia, Esso, Telekom, Perdana, HWGB and Hovid.

Among the gainers, Tradewinds added 16 sen to RM9.07, KLK 14 sen to RM21.48, Tradewinds PLANTATION []s 13 sen to RM3.42, BLD Plantations nine sen to RM6.90 and Kretam seven sen to RM2.08.

Boustead's 2Q earnings up 26.4% to RM185.2m

KUALA LUMPUR: BOUSTEAD HOLDINGS BHD []'s earnings rose 26.4% to RM185.20 million in the second quarter ended June 30, 2011 from RM146.5 million a year ago boosted by the inclusion of Paharmaniaga and also the manufacturing and trading division.

It said on Thursday, Aug 18 its revenue increased by 56% to RM2.225 billion from RM1.425 billion a year ago. Earnings per share were 19.7 sen versus 15.67 sen.

In the first half, its net profit increased by 25.6% to RM297.40 million from RM236.70 million while turnover rose by 28% to RM3.812 billion from RM2.978 billion.

'Higher sales volume had contributed to a 25% increase in revenue for the manufacturing and trading division, while the PLANTATION [] revenue had increased by 25% on stronger palm product prices.

'The first time consolidation of Pharmaniaga during the second quarter had also boosted revenue of the pharmaceutical division which had chalked up sales of RM461 million (2010: RM34 million),' it said.

Boustead said for the cumulative period, the plantation division contributed a significantly higher pre-tax operating profit of RM172.8 million (2010: RM92.4 million).

There was a further gain of RM94.6 million from the disposal of plantation assets to AL-HADHARAH BOUSTEAD REIT []. During the half year, the division achieved an average palm oil price of RM3,441 per tonne, an increase of RM946 or 38% from the average of RM2,495 per tonne a year ago.

Axiata says no immediate plans to up IDEA stake beyond 20%

KUALA LUMPUR: Axiata Group Bhd has no immediate plans to increase its stake in Indian-associate IDEA Cellular Ltd beyond a 20% threshold, the company said, denying reports that it is looking to raise its stake to 25%.

'We have no current plans of increasing our stake in IDEA,' Axiata said in an emailed reply on Thursday, Aug 18.

It confirmed, though, that the group had just increased its holdings in IDEA by 0.9% through open market purchases, raising holdings to 19.98%.

Citing unnamed sources familiar with the deal, The Economic Times of India reported Axiata may be looking to raise its stake in IDEA to 25%, once it receives permission from IDEA's main shareholders, the Aditya Birla group.

IDEA shares rose as much as 3.23% to INR97.5 intra-morning following the report. The stock was trading at INR95.95 at 1pm Kuala Lumpur time.

Axiata had paid an average of INR103 for the additional 0.9% stake in IDEA, OSK Research wrote in a note this morning, citing shareholder filings on the Bombay Stock Exchange. That's 9.05% above the INR94.45 that IDEA closed on Aug 17.

'A small stumbling block' to Axiata increasing its holdings in IDEA beyond 20% could be the approval needed from the Adita Birla Group, OSK Research wrote in the note this morning, ahead of the statement from Axiata to deny the news report.

The additional stake purchase from the market 'would serve to average down the implied cost of its investment in India's third largest mobile operator', OSK Research added in the note, pointing out that Axiata had written down the value of its 19.1% stake in IDEA to INR120 in 4QFY2010.

OSK retained a 'buy' on Axiata and a target price of RM5.77, calling the group its preferred pick in the telecoms sector alongside TELEKOM MALAYSIA BHD [].

Axiata rose as much as 3 sen or 0.6% to RM5.01 this morning before ending the first session at RM4.99, up 1 sen or 0.2% from Wednesday's close.

Tenaga falls as high fuel costs weigh

KUALA LUMPUR: Shares of TENAGA NASIONAL BHD [] fell in late morning trade on Thursday, Aug 18 on continuing worries about high fuel costs impacting its financial results in the fourth quarter.

At 11.53am, Tenaga was down 15c to RM5.73 with 4.95 million shares done. The lowest was RM5.70 on Aug 9.

The FBM KLCI shed 2.61 points to 1,500.46. Turnover was 377 million shares valued at RM582.45 million.'' There were 214 gainers, 296 losers and 281 stocks unchanged.

Tenaga posted net losses of RM440.20 million for the third quarter ended May 31, 2011 was a stark contrast from the net profit RM1.11 billion a year ago.

For the nine months ended May 31, Tenaga's net profit fell to RM903 million from RM2.81 billion in 2010 despite an increase in revenue to RM22.99 billion from RM22.45 billion.

OSK Research described the results as 'shocking' as it had expected a breakeven results. Even the most bearish of the previews had also only foreseen a slight loss, it said.

A local newspaper reported that Tenaga Nasional was expecting to be affected by high fuel costs again in the fourth quarter, mainly due to a prolonged gas supply shortage.

Its president and chief executive officer Datuk Seri Che Khalib Mohamad Noh was quoted saying 'the fourth quarter is going to be equally bad'.

The shortage of gas for the power sector means the power company will have to spend about Rm400 million more a month to buy alternative fueld like distillates and medium fuel oil.

Hartalega to expand production by up to 25%

KUALA LUMPUR: HARTALEGA HOLDINGS BHD [], the world's largest nitrile glove producer, plans to expand its production by between 20% and 25% to meet growing demand from the US and Europe.

In the quarter ended June 30, 2011, Europe made up 28% of sales compared with 18% a year ago while the US was the main market for its gloves.

Hartalega managing director Kuan Ham Hon said on Thursday, Aug 18 there was a lot of potential for the company to expand its market share in Europe.

He was speaking to reporters after the shareholders meeting.

The company had in the first quarter results ended June 30 said the switching from natural rubber to nitrile glove had picked up in Europe and demand was growing rapidly.

'We expect the Nitrile glove demand will continue to grow by 30% for calendar year 2011 and our group is well positioned to take advantage of such demand growth,' it had then said in the notes to its accounts.

Genetec: Outlook for hard disk drives 'not that bleak'

KUALA LUMPUR: ACE-listed machine design company Genetec TECHNOLOGY [] Bhd still sees upside for the hard disk drive (HDD) industry, though it has been impacted by the solid-state drives (SDDs).

Genetec executive director and chairman Ronnie Ortscheid said on Thursday, Aug 18 the outlook for the HDD industry was not as bleak as put forward by some parties.

"Although people say the HDD industry had been lessened by solid-state drives (SDDs), I find the opposite true. Yes, SSDs are growing quickly but are still very expensive - three to 10 times more expensive. HDDs are still preferred."

Ortscheid also said that due to new technologies adding to data density, the life cycle of HDDs will be extended. "And also, we still back up our data on HDDs. You could say that SSDs drive the HDD industry."

SSDs can be used to replace traditional disks in storage arrays or in a server's internal disk bays. Most SSDs use NAND-based flash memory.

NAND flash is a memory chip that can effectively hold information even when the power of the device is off.

NAND is different from dynamic random access memory (DRAM) chips, which can hold information only when the device's power is on. NAND applications include USB Drives and memory cards.

Trading remains cautious at local bourse

KUALA LUMPUR: Trading at the local stock exchange was subdued at mid-morning on Thursday, aug 18 in line with the retreat at most key regional markets, while ESSO MALAYSIA BHD [] shares slumped after investors' were given a rude awakening by the less-than-expected offer price from San Miguel Corp for a 65% stake in the company.

Esso Malaysia Bhd shares were in focus on Thursday, Aug 18 as the FBM KLCI

Asian stocks eased on Thursday following a negative lead from U.S. TECHNOLOGY [] shares, while the Swiss franc stayed buoyed after plans to curb the currency disappointed those looking for more drastic action, according to Reuters.

With market sentiment still fragile, data due later in the day, including US initial jobless claims, consumer prices, existing home sales and regional manufacturing data will be closely watched.

The FBM KLCI slipped 0.05 point to 1,503.02 at 10am, weighed by losses at select blue chips.

Losers edged gainers by 175 to 169, while 213 counters traded unchanged. Volume was 191.64 million shares valued at RM243.33 million.

At the regional markets, Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 0.42% to 9,019.52, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index lost 0.52% to 20,183.51, the Shanghai Composite Index shed 0.22% to 2,595.62, Taiwan's Taiex lost 1.38% to 7,634.98, South Korea's Kospi fell 1.21% to 1,869.82 while Singapore's Straits Times Index edged up 0.15% to 2,832.89.

Maybank Investment Bank Bhd head of retail research and chief chartist Lee Cheng Hooi in a note to clients Aug 18 said the FBM KLCI's resistance areas of 1,503 and 1,530 will cap market gains, whilst the weaker support areas were located at 1,470 and 1,500.

'Due to the US markets' mixed tone last night, we will see some quiet and benign trading activities in the local bourse today,' he said.

On Bursa Malaysia, shares of Esso slumped after the initial euphoria over San Miguel's offer to buy a controlling 65% stake from ExxonMobil International Holdings Inc in the company fizzled out following its disappointing offer of RM3.50 per share.

Esso was the top loser and fell 72 sen to RM4.23 with 7.64 million shares done.

Other losers were Malayan Flour Mills that fell 23 sen to RM7.36, Petronas Gas and Hong Leong Bank down 14 sen each to RM13.40 and RM12.80, QSR, UMW and BAT 10 sen each to RM6, RM7.13 and RM43.90, while Xinquan, HLFG and PPb lost eight sen each to 88 sen, RM12.20 and RM17.10.

PLANTATION []-related stocks were among the gainers, with KLK up 14 sen to RM21.48, Tradewinds Plantations 13 sen to RM3.42, SOP nine sen to RM4.35, Sime and APM Automotive eight sen each to RM8.96 and RM4.96, SapuraCrest 7.5 sen to 97 sen and Fima Corp six sen to RM6.06.

MAA was the most actively traded counter with 16.7 million shares traded. The stock added six sen to 62 sen.

Other actives included Kurnia Asia, Esso, Hovid, Perdana, HWGB and DBE Gurney.